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=====Researchers probe the link between climate change and global conflict===== | |||
[https://thinkprogress.org/reports-climate-change-armed-conflict-global-peace-pentagon-cost/ Think Progress 6/16/2019] | |||
The rationale is that as climate change gets worse, it impacts weather and disasters — making hurricanes and wildfires more intense, droughts drier, and rainfall wetter. This in turn can greatly influence economies — impacting crops, livestock, and fisheries — subsequently hindering livelihoods and reinforcing social divides. | |||
=====Climate as a Risk Factor for Armed Conflict===== | =====Climate as a Risk Factor for Armed Conflict===== | ||
[https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1300-6 Nature(Pay Access) 6/16/2019] | [https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1300-6 Nature(Pay Access) 6/16/2019] | ||
Revision as of 10:40, 17 June 2019
Researchers probe the link between climate change and global conflict
The rationale is that as climate change gets worse, it impacts weather and disasters — making hurricanes and wildfires more intense, droughts drier, and rainfall wetter. This in turn can greatly influence economies — impacting crops, livestock, and fisheries — subsequently hindering livelihoods and reinforcing social divides.
Climate as a Risk Factor for Armed Conflict
These experts agree that climate has affected organized armed conflict within countries. However, other drivers, such as low socioeconomic development and low capabilities of the state, are judged to be substantially more influential, and the mechanisms of climate–conflict linkages remain a key uncertainty. Intensifying climate change is estimated to increase future risks of conflict. "The study takes an unorthodox approach: 11 experts in fields related to climate and conflict participated in individual interviews and group discussions about the relationship between those things. They concluded that climate has already influenced between 3% and 20% of armed conflicts over the past century." Think Progress
Causes of Central American Caravans
The Guardian-The unseen driver behind the migrant caravan: climate change 10/30/2018
While violence and poverty have been cited as the reasons for the exodus, experts say the big picture is that changing climate is forcing farmers off their land – and it’s likely to get worse.
Britians First Climate Refugees
The Guardian Fairbourne Wales 5/18/2019
As sea levels rise, Fairbourne, sandwiched between mountains and the beach, is being returned to the waves. But where will its residents go?
'We're moving to higher ground': America's era of climate mass migration is here
The Guardian- Climate Migration 9/18
By the end of this century, sea level rises alone could displace 13m people. Many states will have to grapple with hordes of residents seeking dry ground. But, as one expert says, ‘No state is unaffected by this’
